# Probability will be the basis of all future topics, and you will find that the resulting interpretation of a probability and the conclusion that you can make from a probability is more important than that calculation itself.Consider the following probabilities found for the given situations, then answer the questions that follow: Situation: If randomly guessing, the probability that a person can correctly guess your BIRTH MONTH on the first try is 1/12= 0.083. You and a friend are out one night and you meet a magician who bets that she can randomly guess both of your BIRTH MONTHS on the first try. 1. QUESTION: If the magician does guess both of your BIRTH MONTHS correctly, would you believe it was by pure chance, or would you believe that the magician knew your BIRTH MONTHS by some other means (whether that be magic, being a creepy stalker, etc.)? Explain your probabilistic and statistical thinking.

Probability will be the basis of all future topics, and you will find that the resulting interpretation of a probability and the conclusion that you can make from a probability is more important than that calculation itself.Consider the following probabilities found for the given situations, then answer the questions that follow: Situation: If randomly guessing, the probability that a person can correctly guess your BIRTH MONTH on the first try is 1/12= 0.083. You and a friend are out one night and you meet a magician who bets that she can randomly guess both of your BIRTH MONTHS on the first try. 1. QUESTION: If the magician does guess both of your BIRTH MONTHS correctly, would you believe it was by pure chance, or would you believe that the magician knew your BIRTH MONTHS by some other means (whether that be magic, being a creepy stalker, etc.)? Explain your probabilistic and statistical thinking.